Construction workloads still falling but signs that the pace of decline is starting to ease

05/27/2009 18:58

RICS UK Construction Market Survey, Q1 2009 LONDON – May 27, 2009 – Workloads in the first three months of the year continued to weaken across the board, but some key areas, including housing, saw an easing in the pace of the decline, according to the RICS construction market survey, published today. Construction workloads remained in negative territory for the fourth consecutive quarter with 45 percent more surveyors reporting a fall rather than a rise in overall workloads in the first quarter, up from a net balance of -47. Both private and public housing saw a slight improvement in the number of surveyors reporting falling workloads, with 49 percent more surveyors reporting a fall than a rise in private housing, up from -66 percent, and 13 percent reporting a fall than a rise in public housing, 7 percent less than the previous quarter. “This slight easing we are seeing in both public and private housing is broadly in line with the figures coming from the government on the number of housing starts, which saw a small rise in the first quarter of 2009, and could be aligned to recent signs of a gentle pick-up in activity in the housing market,” said RICS chief economist Simon Rubinsohn. Private commercial and industrial workloads recorded the worst figures, with net balances of -57 and -61 respectively; whilst the infrastructure sector saw an accelerated pace of decline, the fastest in the survey’s history, with 34 percent more surveyors reporting a fall than a rise. Many respondents cited a lack of available finance and the delay in public sector projects as the main cause of pessimism for the current market. The outlook for the next twelve months remains downbeat. Expectations for future workloads improved slightly in the first quarter, with 38 percent more surveyors expecting a fall rather than a rise, up from 45 at the end of 2008. The net balance of surveyors expecting employment levels to fall remained fairly constant with 46 percent more surveyors expecting employment levels to fall. However 72 percent more surveyors expected profits to be down over the coming months. “Activity is still declining across the construction sector, but it appears to be doing so at a lesser rate than was previously the case and public sector projects will play a key role in any recovery as long as the finance is made available to prevent them from stalling,” Rubinsohn said. "Despite some sub-sectors showing slightly more positive signs, construction output is likely to post a double digit drop over the course of 2009 with a further loss of employment and skills in the industry." Notes for editors: RICS construction market survey Published quarterly, the RICS Construction Market Survey provides a unique look at this £80bn industry in the UK. It features trends in house building activity, labour availability, expected profit margins and publicly-funded building infrastructure projects. About RICS RICS (Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors) is the mark of property professionalism worldwide. It covers all aspects of property, construction and associated environmental issues. RICS has 86,000 chartered members (FRICS and MRICS) and 55,000 members in other categories of membership (TechRICS, trainees and students) globally. It represents, regulates and promotes the work of these property professionals throughout 146 countries. RICS is governed by a Royal Charter approved by Parliament which requires it to act in the public interest. It is also a professional regulatory body approved by Government (HM Treasury).